A gravity panel data analysis of foreign trade by regions: the role of metropolises and history

Tomasz Brodzicki , Stanisław Umiński


A gravity panel data analysis of foreign trade by regions: the role of metropolises and history. Regional Studies. The paper investigates the determinants of the intensity of foreign trade of the Polish NUTS-2 regions over 1999–2011 with an augmented panel gravity model. In an attempt to obtain unbiased results, it estimates a semi-mixed effect model with the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood (PPML) method. The results clearly demonstrate the robustness of the gravity model. Furthermore, path dependence within the context of regional development, due to the historical partitions of Poland, still plays a significant and robust role. Trade persistence has been confirmed. Metropolitan regions, ceteris paribus, trade more intensely, which proves their role as nodes in global trade flows.
Author Tomasz Brodzicki (FE/DEEI)
Tomasz Brodzicki,,
- Department of Economics of European Integration
, Stanisław Umiński (FE/RCEI)
Stanisław Umiński,,
- Research Centre on European Integration
Journal seriesRegional Studies, ISSN 0034-3404, (A 35 pkt)
Issue year2018
Publication size in sheets0.60
Keywords in Englishinternational trade, regional economics, gravity model, semi-mixed effects, Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood (PPML), Poland
ASJC Classification3300 General Social Sciences; 2300 General Environmental Science
Languageen angielski
Score (nominal)35
Score sourcejournalList
ScoreMinisterial score = 35.0, 28-01-2020, ArticleFromJournal
Publication indicators WoS Citations = 5.000; Scopus SNIP (Source Normalised Impact per Paper): 2018 = 2.102; WoS Impact Factor: 2017 = 3.147 (2) - 2017=3.504 (5)
Citation count*23 (2020-08-05)
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* presented citation count is obtained through Internet information analysis and it is close to the number calculated by the Publish or Perish system.
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