Global warming not so harmful for all plants - response of holomycotrophic orchid species for the future climate change

Marta Kolanowska , Marta Kras , Monika Lipińska , Katarzyna Mystkowska , Dariusz Lucjan Szlachetko , Aleksandra Naczk

Abstract

Current and expected changes in global climate are major threat for biological diversity affecting individuals, communities and ecosystems. However, there is no general trend in the plants response to the climate change. The aim of present study was to evaluate impact of the future climate changes on the distribution of holomycotrophic orchid species using ecological niche modeling approach. Three different scenarios of future climate changes were tested to obtain the most comprehensive insight in the possible habitat loss of 16 holomycotrophic orchids. The extinction of Cephalanthera austiniae was predicted in all analyses. The coverage of suitable niches of Pogoniopsis schenckii will decrease to 1–30% of its current extent. The reduction of at least 50% of climatic niche of Erythrorchis cassythoides and Limodorum abortivum will be observed. In turn, the coverage of suitable niches of Hexalectris spicata, Uleiorchis ulaei and Wullschlaegelia calcarata may be even 16–74 times larger than in the present time. The conducted niche modeling and analysis of the similarity of their climatic tolerance showed instead that the future modification of the coverage of their suitable niches will not be unified and the future climate changes may be not so harmful for holomycotrophic orchids as expected.
Author Marta Kolanowska KTRiOP
Marta Kolanowska,,
- Department of Plant Taxonomy and Nature Conservation
, Marta Kras KTRiOP
Marta Kras,,
- Department of Plant Taxonomy and Nature Conservation
, Monika Lipińska KTRiOP
Monika Lipińska,,
- Department of Plant Taxonomy and Nature Conservation
, Katarzyna Mystkowska KTRiOP
Katarzyna Mystkowska,,
- Department of Plant Taxonomy and Nature Conservation
, Dariusz Lucjan Szlachetko KTRiOP
Dariusz Lucjan Szlachetko,,
- Department of Plant Taxonomy and Nature Conservation
, Aleksandra Naczk KEM
Aleksandra Naczk,,
- Department of Molecular Evolution
Other language title versions
Journal seriesScientific Reports, ISSN 2045-2322
Issue year2017
Vol7
Pagesart. no 12704, 1-13
Publication size in sheets0.6
DOIDOI:10.1038/s41598-017-13088-7
URL https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-13088-7.pdf
Languageen angielski
LicenseJournal (articles only); published final; Uznanie Autorstwa (CC-BY); with publication
Score (nominal)40
ScoreMinisterial score = 40.0, 20-12-2017, ArticleFromJournal
Ministerial score (2013-2016) = 40.0, 20-12-2017, ArticleFromJournal
Publication indicators WoS Impact Factor: 2016 = 4.259 (2) - 2016=4.847 (5)
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